Global Catastrophic Risks

Global Catastrophic Risks refer to events or processes that pose significant threats to large populations, across multiple continents. The Global Challenges Foundation works to raise awareness of these risks and to facilitate changes that are needed in global governance to prevent or mitigate them.

What are Global Catastrophic Risks?

A global catastrophic risk is a possible event or process that can threaten the lives of a large part of humanity, across multiple continents. Humanity today faces a multitude of such risks, ranging from environmental crises to the potentially disastrous consequences of advanced technologies. These risks are rapidly increasing, interconnected, and demand global cooperation to manage.

Some of the most pressing examples of these risks include:

  • Climate change
  • Ecosystem collapse
  • Pandemics
  • Weapons of mass destruction
  • Potentially disastrous consequences of emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence
Climate change
A road passing through desert dunes, as seen from above. A blue car has stop, as sand has covered part of the road.

Climate change

The consequences of climate change could be catastrophic, and yet, there has been insufficient progress in addressing it.

To climate change
Ecological collapse
Plastic pollution floating in the sea.

Ecological collapse

To ecological collapse
Weapons of mass destruction

Weapons of mass destruction

The potential devastation of nuclear and biological/chemical warfare cannot be overstated.

To weapons of mass destruction
  • Climate change
    A road passing through desert dunes, as seen from above. A blue car has stop, as sand has covered part of the road.

    Climate change

    The consequences of climate change could be catastrophic, and yet, there has been insufficient progress in addressing it.

    To climate change
  • Ecological collapse
    Plastic pollution floating in the sea.

    Ecological collapse

    To ecological collapse
  • Weapons of mass destruction

    Weapons of mass destruction

    The potential devastation of nuclear and biological/chemical warfare cannot be overstated.

    To weapons of mass destruction
Emerging and unknown risks
An advanced robot.

Emerging and unknown risks

To emerging and unknown risks
Natural catastrophes

Natural catastrophes

Occur without direct human influence and have the potential to cause widespread devastation and loss of life.

To natural catastrophes
  • Emerging and unknown risks
    An advanced robot.

    Emerging and unknown risks

    To emerging and unknown risks
  • Natural catastrophes

    Natural catastrophes

    Occur without direct human influence and have the potential to cause widespread devastation and loss of life.

    To natural catastrophes

Causes of Global Catastrophic Risks

Some catastrophic risks, such as super volcanoes or asteroid impacts, occur naturally, but others are caused by human activities. The development of weapon technologies has expanded our ability to cause widespread destruction. Our consumption and production patterns have affected our climate, decreased biodiversity, and polluted the environment, leading to a planetary crisis.

How risks amplify each other

Many global catastrophic risks are interconnected and reinforce each other in complex loops. Some risks are also linked to tipping points, where even small changes in the conditions could initiate unstoppable and irreversible processes leading to disruptions in the Earth system.

In the climate system, crossing such tipping points could result in the collapse of vital ecosystems like coral reefs, rainforests, and polar ice sheets. Scientists are increasingly alarmed by these cascading effects, which could have severe consequences for human life on the planet.

Rising temperatures and sea levels can also create forced migration, leading to escalating conflicts.

The need for Global Cooperation

The founder of the Global Challenges Foundation, Laszlo Szombatfalvy, emphasized the importance of considering both the probability and severity of potential harms in risk assessment. Even if the chances are low, the potential impact is so great that strong political action is needed to prevent them. 

Despite the growing likelihood of events like catastrophic climate change, coordinated global political action remains insufficient.

High Angle View Of People On Street.

5 Key Components of Global Catastrophic Risks

Learn about five key components of global catastrophic risks and their role in shaping global governance strategies.

Learn more

Building a Foundation for Action

To effectively respond to global catastrophic risks, we must first understand them. The Global Challenges Foundation supports research and the dissemination of scientific knowledge on the most pressing threats to humanity, intending to foster political demand for effective global response mechanisms.

Learn more about how we are addressing these challenges.

Further reading

Additional reading material can be found in our library.

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