Global risks
The Global Challenges Foundation has identified five main categories of key risks. This page provides summaries of each of these categories. Each overview explores what is at stake, and examines main factors affecting risk levels. All risk texts are prepared in collaboration with leading experts in the field. Current governance frameworks for mitigating each risk are considered.
Risks in focus
The primary area of concern of the Global Challenges Foundation are the risks associated with climate change, large-scale environmental degradation and weapons of mass destruction. These risks extend beyond the threats themselves to include underlying circumstances that amplify their likelihood and impact, such as extreme poverty and politically motivated violence.
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Climate change
Climate change
The consequences of climate change could be catastrophic, and yet, there has been insufficient progress in addressing it.
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Weapons of mass destruction
Weapons of mass destruction
The potential devastation of nuclear and biological/chemical warfare cannot be overstated.
Other risks
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Natural catastrophes
Natural catastrophes
Occur without direct human influence and have the potential to cause widespread devastation and loss of life.
Definition
Global catastrophic risks have existed since the beginning of time. Life has been wiped out by meteors and supervolcanoes, and disease has killed vast populations. However, today, for the first time in history, humanity has the capability to seriously damage the conditions for life on the planet.
In assessing the risk of a global catastrophe, we need to adopt a comprehensive and nuanced approach that considers all possible outcomes and works towards mitigating risks while also preparing for potential worst-case scenarios. It’s clear that selecting a cutoff value is a challenging task.
We define a global catastrophic risk as an event that could cause the death of more than 10 per cent of humanity, or global risks that could cause damage on a similar scale. We have combined historical evidence and scientific data to identify the most urgent risks facing humankind. Many of these risks are interconnected, such as climate change and ecological collapse.